Washington vs Oregon 10/6/2012

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Oregon is a heavy favorite winning 92% of simulations over Washington. Marcus Mariota is averaging 203 passing yards and 2 TDs per simulation and Kenjon Barner is projected for 100 rushing yards and a 78% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 8% of simulations where Washington wins, Keith Price averages 1.91 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.85 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Bishop Sankey averages 114 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing TDs when Washington wins and 103 yards and 0.46 TDs in losses. Oregon has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 97% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is OR -24

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